Tuesday 3 June 2014

CAN A CHOCOLATE KING SAVE UKRAINE ?

While the title may not echo competence or confidence, The chocolate king is the best Ukraine will have to do with. Petro Poroshenko, the President-elect of the troubled nation, who will take office on the 7th of June is tasked with one of the most difficult political endeavors in recent history. His political agenda will not be limited to mitigating the domestic turmoil inflicted due to factionist propaganda but also to walk a tight rope with Russia and the West holding its two ends. If Mr. Poroshenko manages to rub either of them the wrong way, the tight rope might turn into a noose. The path he has taken to the presidency will help predict accurately the path he will take post-authority.
Before bursting onto the international political stage as the man entrusted with bringing peace and stability to Ukraine, he was known for the billions earned from his confectionary business. The wealth also brought with it a fitting name, ‘The Chocolate King’, which is not indicative of his political experience in the least. He served as the Minister of Foreign affairs in 2009-10 and also as the Minister of Trade and Development in 2012. While these laurels put him in good stead for the top job, they also happen to be major reasons for concern amongst the people of Ukraine and the international community. Mr. Poroshenko is expected to rise from the ashes of Mr. Viktor Yanukovych and offer better governance. But his past political affiliation to the Yanukovych regime along with various corruption allegations which surfaced during his association with President Yushchenko during the budding years of his political years, gives way for doubts and fears.
 But all is not lost. The future should not be held captive by the past. The cloudy sky of Mr. Poroshenko gives way for sunlight to shine through in some places. During his time as the Minister for Trade and Development in 2012, he advocated for further strengthening ties between Ukraine and the EU. Having been the Minister for Foreign Affairs and the head of the Council of Ukraine’s National bank, Mr.Poroshenko harbors holistic knowledge of all the issues troubling the Ukrainian state today – International relations, Economic stagnation and boosting investor confidence. For the common man in the Euromaidan protests of November 2013 – February 2014, witnessing Mr.Poroshenko actively declaring his support for the revolution and providing monetary reinforcements for the protesters, was a turning point. It was this surge in popularity that the ‘Chocolate King’ capitalized on during his Presidential campaign earlier this year.

The Chocolate King will blend a new flavor for Ukraine


Mr. Poroshenko’s election slogan, “Live a new way”, has gone far in instilling hope in the hearts of Ukrainians craving for change in the direction their country is headed. But mere words will not suffice. He has a mountain to climb and while on his way to the summit, he has to tread lightly. Mr. Poroshenko has four glaring problems to deal with. Firstly, he will have to bring the internal conflict between the Pro-Russian and Pro-EU factions to an end. Addressing both sets of concerns and finding a common ground where co-existence seems a possibility, will have to be achieved. Secondly, the Russian army knocking on the borders needs to be kept away. Mr. Poroshenko will have to portray a firmer stance against a potential Russian invasion. Mr. Putin needs to know he cannot walk into Ukrainian territory with ease, as was the case under the interim rule of Oleksandr Turchynov. Thirdly, He has to make sure Russia and the West do not turn his country into a battleground to settle personal vendettas. Russia wants to gain control of Ukraine in order to establish an Asian power bloc to rival that of the EU. This would enable Mr. Putin to call the shots and not let the White House determine global proceedings. Lastly, Mr. Poroshenko needs to find a sweet spot between sentiment and sense. While the dominant national sentiment is inclined towards Russia, the country’s economic future looks more secure with the EU. These options seem to be mutually exclusive as Mr. Putin and Brussels do not seem to want to budge.

Mr. Poroshenko has an amazing opportunity at hand. His every action will reverberate at a global scale. If he plays his cards right, he can not only save Ukraine but also open up new opportunities for co-operation between the West and Russia. He will have to shed his Oligarchic political past and venture into the Presidency with an open mind. Ukraine is the key to global stability as well instability.  

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